2.19.2012

Winter Championship road to Champion of Champions

Hola Amigos,

We are back tonight after an exciting running of the Winter Derby last night in which the winning photo revealed Kobe and Deniro millimeters apart for the Grade I win. Tonight's feature race is the Grade I Winter Championship which features a wide open field headed by the 8-year old Jess You and I and the hot horse Señor Toby (Who is running a 7 race win streak). To spice up the card we also have a pick 6 carry over of almost $19,000. Let's Get to it.

Race 1: #2 Fontainbleu has always been regarded as a horse with talent but his unlucky breaks has not given him a chance to show what he is made of. I like that he is drawn next to a slow working first time starter and will give him one more chance. My Top pick will be #5 Famous Fury who made his first start since July of 2011 last time out where he broke on top and had the lead and got beat at the wire by a head. With that race under his belt, I expect this Utah bred to come out running.

Race 2: I am going two deep in this race using the speed #2 Blue Marrow and the closer #1 Princess Ryan. Both fillies come from wins in each of their previous efforts and arrive for top connections.

Race 3: I can make a case for all of the runners in this field so I will press the ALL button for this group of six.

Race 4: This race concludes the pick four and it also begins the pick six. I am going to single #2 Ahh Lover in this event. I like that this gelding has shown tenacity in the races where he has fought on the lead and still pull clear. I expect the outside horse to provide pressure but I don't think Ahh Lover will give in.

Race 5: Two deep in this event with my top pick being #1 Chick on the Wire. This gelding gets a nice inside post and gets the services of a more experience rider. Notice that horse was brought back to run in a maiden special race after running second in a $4,000 maiden claimer. Drops back in class and a good break puts him in the hunt. Also using #5 Jw Chicks Cutie who is deserving favorite off better running lines and is only making her second start at los al.

Race 6: This is a difficult race and I am going to with #1 Bonos Lucky Jeans and #6 Inmate separate. #1 can break on top and #6 has run against classier horses.

Race 7: Three deep in this event with #1 Sheza Fast Habit who had a rough trip last time out against Noconi (Running in the Championship) and gets the services of Rodrigo A ceves. Top pick will be #6 What a performance who is a mare who had a blistering workout last time out while making her first start since 2009 but did not fire. Second time out makes her dangerous. Also using #7 Send the candy Wagon who won the race at the break last time out. If she breaks like that again she will be gone.

Race 8: The Grade I Winter Championship. I like these four runners to get the job done tonight. #4 Senor Toby, #5 El Aguila Real, #7 Dash Back Perry, and #8 Sparky E Boy. Tough field.

Race 9: I have a single in this race. If you have read my blog in different occasions I bet you can figure out who I like without telling you. #4 Mr Comando. This gelding has a tremendous closing kick but has been unlucky at the gate. I like the distance and I like the slight drop in class.

Early pick 4 $24 Ticket: 2,5/1,2/ALL/2

Pick 6 $96 Ticket: 2/1,5/1,6/1,6,7/4,5,7,8/4

Good luck!

Find me on twitter @LosPonies

I watch horses run around.

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