Hola Amigos,
Well let me first say that i am on cloud nine after cheering I'll Have Another and Mario Gutierrez home in the Preakness and im just a fan so i can only imagine the connections!. We have a potential Triple Crown winner on our hands and it should be a fun ride all the way to Belmont Park. The hand on task for me is tackling the the nine-race card at Los Alamitos tonight that features a $119,510 pick six carryover in race 4. This carryover reminds me of back in 2006 on the night of The Champion of Champions card where it was also a big carryover and i was able to sweep the card and take down a $1,800 early pick four, $65,000 pick six, and a $700 late pick four ( the highlight of my handicapping career). It is rare to see such a healthy pick six pool as this one at Los Alamitos so expect alot of money to be bet into the carryover today. Lets do this.
Race 1: To start the card and the early pick four i will go four deep with #1 Loma Linda Girl (off a layoff, good works, good trainer, rail post might be able to steal it), #2 Clm Last Chance (deserving fav off last strong race when a good second), #6 Zoomin Latina (Lone first time starter could upset with decent works), and #8 Kotu (new trainer, small layoff, leading rider).
Race 2: This race is a tough straight maiden race. 300 yards for fillies and mares and i will go two deep with #2 Sis Hits (top pick, first start as a three year old and could show huge improvement at a price. 12-1 ML) and #4 First Black Magic (uncomfortable trip last out and . a small improvement and good break might be all she needs for a win)
Race 3: My single in the pick four comes in this race with #2 Za Za La Blue who is a first time starter for Cody Joiner who always is consistent with his two-year old (20%) and good with first time starters ($18). This filly is a half sister to former world champion Blues Girl Too. In addition, trainer-jockey combo is hitting at 19%.
Race 4: The $119,000 pick six carryover starts here and the early pick four ends here. I will go three deep in this competitive field with #2 Mayla Bonita (fast gate speed, aggressive rider, consistent numbers), #5 Ocean Kisser (drops from 10k to 5k, efforts that are good enough to win two races back), and top pick #7 Fireman Dave (ran a "cross out race" last out and now drops well below claimed level for good connections.)
Race 5: Thoroughbreds going 4 and one half furlongs. Three deep with #2 Defensive Move (one for one at los alamitos when invading from golden gate, tough to do. Respect), #3 Serious Form (good efforts, can be close to pace to stalk and fire in the stretch), and #6 Impregnable (first off claim for hanson, Speed, Class).
Race 6: Three deep for me in this maiden race at 300 yards. #1 Price the Vice (drops in class, troubled trips, gets the rail, and showed some talent in march 3rd drill, worth a chance), #7 Looking for Rythm (Rider went to ride him at Dixie in educational debut when earning a good number), and #8 Ganboring (homebred colt can show improvement in second start with a drop in class and outside post).
Race 7: I will single #1 Man of Mine who just ran a winning race when he had the lead in a 330 yard race when getting beat my a nose. Gets a shorter 300 yard race today and should win the race at the break. Grab the lead and don't look back.
Race 8: Good field of 12.5k claimers going 300 yards. I will single #6 Finding Moby who has four great efforts in five lifetime starts with two wins and two second. Great gate speed and good finishing kick. Each effort better than the previous. Single.
Race 9: Closing the card and all my plays will be #3 Thru Fire Hot. Good breeding for this debuting colt by Walk Thru Fire. Trainer does good with limited two-year old stock and gets services of excellent gate rider Rodrigo Aceves (coincidence that he was the rider that closed my winning pick six that 2006 night?). Good Luck!
$1 Early Pick Four Race One ($24): 1,2,6,8 / 2,4 / 2 / 2,5,7
$2 Pick Six Race Four ($54): 2,5,7 / 2,3,6 / 1,7,8 / 1 / 6 / 3
$1 Late Pick Four Race Six ($9): 1,7,8 / 1 / 6 / 1,3,7
Good Luck!
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